GOTHENBERG, Sweden -- The ice sheet in West
Antarctica is melting faster than expected. New observations published
by oceanographers from the University of Gothenburg and the US may
improve our ability to predict future changes in ice sheet mass. The
study was recently published in the journal Nature Geoscience.
A reduction of the ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland will affect the water levels of the world's oceans.
It is therefore problematic that
we currently have insufficient knowledge about the ocean circulation
near large glaciers in West Antarctica. This means that researchers
cannot predict how water levels will change in the future with any large
degree of certainty.
"There is a clear reduction in the ice mass in
West Antarctica, especially around the glaciers leading into the
Amundsen Sea," says researcher Lars Arneborg from the Department of
Earth Sciences at the University of Gothenburg.
Together with his research colleagues Anna
Wåhlin, Göran Björk and Bengt Liljebladh, he has studied the ocean
circulation in the Amundsen Sea.
One reason why West Antarctica is particularly
sensitive is that the majority of the ice rests on areas that are below
sea level. Warm sea water penetrates beneath the ice, causing increased
melting from underneath.
"It is therefore probably a change in the ocean
circulation in the Amundsen Sea that has caused this increased melting,"
continues Arneborg.
Until now, researchers have been referred to studies that use high-resolution computer models.
"But there have been very few oceanographic
measurements from the Amundsen Sea to confirm or contradict the results
from the computer models. Nor has there been any winter data. Sea ice
and icebergs have made it impossible to get there in the winter, and it
isn't easy to have instruments in place all year round."
However, since 2010 the researchers from
Gothenburg have managed to have instruments positioned in the Amundsen
Sea, enabling them to measure the inward flow of warm sea water towards
the glaciers.
The observations show that the warm sea water
flows towards the glaciers in a more or less constand current all year
round, in contrast to the model results which suggested a strong
seasonal cycle.
"This shows just how important observations are
for investigating whether the models we use describe something that
resembles reality. Warm ocean currents have caused much more melting
than any model has predicted, both in West Antarctica and around
Greenland.
The researchers want more and longer time series
of oceanographic observations in order to improve the models and
achieve a better understanding.
"Only then will we be able to say something about how the ice masses of the Antarctic and Greenland will change in the future."
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